Issued: 2015 Dec 12 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2015 | 116 | 013 |
| 13 Dec 2015 | 118 | 011 |
| 14 Dec 2015 | 120 | 010 |
Solar activity is low. The strongest flare, out of 6 C-class flares reported in the last 24 hours, was the C5.6 flare (peaking at 17:16 UT on December 11), which originated from the NOAA AR 2465, at that moment situated close to the center of the solar disc. The flare and associated with the EIT wave and the coronal dimming, on-disc signatures of the CME. More information will be reported as soon as coronagraph data become available. We expect C-class flares in the coming hours. The coronagraph data, which became recently available, show that the C3.9 flare on December 10 and C1.4 flare on December 11 (mentioned in the last two reports) were associated with narrow, slow and not Earth directed CMEs.
The solar wind speed is currently about 560 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is 5 nT. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled and we expect it to remain so in the coming hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 075, based on 11 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 099 |
| 10cm solar flux | 114 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 037 |
| AK Wingst | 027 |
| Estimated Ap | 027 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 079 - Based on 14 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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