Viendo archivo del viernes, 1 febrero 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Feb 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 032 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Feb 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. A small C-class
flare from Region 9800 (N08W31) along with several minor radio
sweeps and bursts comprised most all of today's activity. Region
9802 (S15W05) continues to show growth and development of spot
complex, the delta magnetic structure has become more evident during
the period. New Region 9810 (N10E81) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. USAF
planetary experienced an isolated period of active conditions from
01/1500 - 1800 UTC. Shortly after 31/2100 UTC, a shock passage was
observed at the ACE satellite. This was followed by a sudden
impulse of 19 nT observed at Boulder at 01/2127 UTC. The source
region for this weak shock is unknown.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Feb a 04 Feb
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Feb 246 Previsto 02 Feb-04 Feb 245/245/245 Media de 90 Días 01 Feb 225
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Jan 006/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Feb 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Feb-04 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Feb a 04 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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