Viendo archivo del miércoles, 24 febrero 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Feb 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 55 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Feb 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Feb,
26 Feb, 27 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 526 km/s at 24/0822Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 24/1534Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
24/1617Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 22370 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (25 Feb) and quiet levels on
days two and three (26 Feb, 27 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Feb 081 Previsto 25 Feb-27 Feb 082/082/082 Media de 90 Días 24 Feb 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Feb 010/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Feb 017/023 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb 012/012-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 106.7 -17.3 |
| Last 30 days | 101.8 -7.7 |