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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jun 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 158 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jun 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on day one (08 Jun) and expected to
be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days two and
three (09 Jun, 10 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 496 km/s at 07/1719Z, though all RTSW from
DSCOVR data after 07/1600 was largely flagged as being suspect. Total
IMF reached 12 nT at 07/1658Z. The maximum southward component of Bz
reached -11 nT at 07/1751Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 223 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (08 Jun) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (09 Jun, 10 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jun a 10 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Jun 081 Previsto 08 Jun-10 Jun 080/080/078 Media de 90 Días 07 Jun 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jun 006/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Jun 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun 011/015-007/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jun a 10 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 30% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 16/02/2026 | M2.4 |
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| Tramo actual | 4 días |
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