Viendo archivo del martes, 6 julio 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jul 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 187 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jul 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
06/1915Z from Region 2835 (S18W82). There are currently 4 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on day one (07 Jul) and expected to
be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for
an M-class flare on day two (08 Jul) and expected to be very low with a
chance for a C-class flares on day three (09 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 400 km/s at 06/1951Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 06/0547Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
06/1202Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 163 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (07 Jul, 08 Jul) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (09 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jul a 09 Jul
| Clase M | 15% | 10% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Jul 083 Previsto 07 Jul-09 Jul 084/080/080 Media de 90 Días 06 Jul 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jul 009/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Jul 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Jul-09 Jul 006/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jul a 09 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
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