Viendo archivo del viernes, 9 julio 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jul 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 190 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jul 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C7 event observed at
09/1050Z from Region 2840 (N27, L=036). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (10 Jul, 11 Jul, 12 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 339 km/s at 09/1343Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
09/2032Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
09/0909Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 171 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (10 Jul), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (11 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day three (12 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Jul 074 Previsto 10 Jul-12 Jul 073/073/073 Media de 90 Días 09 Jul 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jul 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Jul 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 005/005-007/008-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 25% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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