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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Apr 01 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 91 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Apr 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (02 Apr, 03 Apr, 04 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 511 km/s at 01/1138Z. Total IMF reached 16 nT at 01/1156Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 01/1228Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2587 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (02 Apr), quiet to active levels on day two (03 Apr) and unsettled to active levels on day three (04 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (02 Apr, 03 Apr, 04 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Apr a 04 Apr
Clase M55%55%55%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       01 Apr 142
  Previsto   02 Apr-04 Apr 145/140/135
  Media de 90 Días        01 Apr 138

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 31 Mar  008/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 01 Apr  011/014
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 02 Apr-04 Apr  014/022-015/018-015/021

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Apr a 04 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%40%35%
Tormenta Menor35%20%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%10%10%
Tormenta Menor25%25%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa70%60%45%

All times in UTC

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