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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Apr 18 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 108 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Apr 2026

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (19 Apr, 20 Apr, 21 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to major storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 601 km/s at 18/1746Z. Total IMF reached 17 nT at 18/0533Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -14 nT at 18/0533Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 704 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (19 Apr) and quiet to active levels on days two and three (20 Apr, 21 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Apr a 21 Apr
Clase M15%15%15%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Apr 106
  Previsto   19 Apr-21 Apr 105/105/110
  Media de 90 Días        18 Apr 133

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Apr  003/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Apr  025/038
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Apr-21 Apr  020/025-014/018-013/015

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Apr a 21 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%35%30%
Tormenta Menor35%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%30%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa70%45%35%

All times in UTC

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