查看星期二, 1 4月 2025歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Apr 01 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Proton event in progress (>10 MeV)

	10公分通量	Ap
01 Apr 2025	173	004
02 Apr 2025	173	017
03 Apr 2025	173	011

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was high, with one M-class flare and multiple C-class flares recorded over the past 24 hours. The largest flare was an M5.6 flare (SIDC Flare 3994) peaking at 06:46 UTC on April 01, associated with SIDC Sunspot Group 459 (NOAA Active Region 4046, beta-gamma). There are currently eight numbered active regions visible on the solar disk. SIDC Sunspot Group 461 (NOAA Active Region 4048; beta-gamma-delta) that has grown in size and remains magnetically most complex active region on the disk, was the main driver of the flaring activity observed over the past 24 hours. Low flaring activity was also produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 460 (NOAA Active Region 4047; beta). Other regions on the disc have simple configuration of their photospheric magnetic field (alpha and beta) and did not show any significant flaring activity. Solar flaring activity is expected to be moderate to high over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares very likely and a small chance for X-class flares.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph images.

日冕洞

A low-latitude, negative polarity coronal hole began to cross the central meridian on April 1. The associated high-speed stream is expected to arrive at Earth starting April 4.

太陽風

Over the past 24 hours, the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) reflected mild ICME influence. The total interplanetary magnetic field reached values up to 11 nT. The solar wind speed ranged between 400 km/s and 500 km/s. A gradual transition to slow solar wind conditions is expected for the next 24 hours, with a chance of a weak enhancement on April 1 - April 2 due to the possible arrival of a high-speed stream from a positive polarity coronal hole, that started to cross the central meridian on March 25.

地磁

Geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet both globally and locally over Belgium (NOAA Kp: 1-2, K-Bel:1-2). Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected over the next days, with a chance of isolated active or minor storm periods on April 1-2 due to possible high- speed stream arrival.

質子通量水平

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux exceeded the 100 pfu threshold, reaching a maximum value of 147 pfu as measured by GOES-18 at 04:25 UTC on April 1. The proton flux is currently above the 10 pfu threshold and is expected to remain elevated over the coming days.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-18, was above the 1000 pfu threshold between 01:35 UTC on March 31 and 05:15 UTC on April 1. There is a chance that the greater than 2 MeV electron flux will exceed this level again in the coming days. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：157，基於19個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 31 Mar 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	172
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	005
估計地磁Ap指數	006
估計國際太陽黑子數	142 - 基於34個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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