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Tägliches Bulletin zur solaren und geomagnetischen Aktivität des SIDC

Ausgestellt: 2014 Sep 27 1234 UTC

Vorhersage des SIDC

Sonneneruptionen

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sonnenprotonen

Quiet

	10cm Fluss	Ap
27 Sep 2014	173	016
28 Sep 2014	176	013
29 Sep 2014	179	007

Bulletin

Solar activity has been at low to moderate level. The largest flare occurred during a GOES 15 data gap. From PROBA2/LYRA data it is derived to be of M1 magnitude. Its peak was reported to have occurred at 8:37 UT. The second strongest event was a C7.9 flare originating from NOAA AR 2177 peaking at 16:18 UT. Some further C flares were reported including from regions 2172 and 2173. Further growth was recorded in the main regions at play 2175, 2172 and 2173. The occurrence of M class flares has become quite possible or even likely. No Earth directed CME's were recorded. Solar wind speed decreased slightly from around 460 km/s to around 420 km/s. Total magnetic field was variable mainly within the 5 to 7 nT range. Some periods with dominant negative Bz (peaks to under -6nT) were observed at the start of the reporting period as well as after UT midnight. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to active (both NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes 2-4). Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected in the first two days with later quiet to unsettled conditions.

Die heute international geschätzte Sonnenfleckenanzahl (ISN): 109, basierend auf 10 Stationen.

Solarindizes für den 26 Sep 2014

Wolf-Zahl Catania	///
10cm Solarflux	170
AK Chambon La Forêt	028
AK Wingst	017
Geschätzer Ap-Wert	018
Geschätzte internationale Sonnenfleckenzahl	122 - Basierend auf 14 Stationen

Zusammenfassung auffälliger Ereignisse

Zur Verfügung gestellt vom Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verarbeitet von SpaceWeatherLive

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