Viendo archivo del lunes, 13 octubre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Oct 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 286 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 OCT 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. A LONG DURATION B6.8
X-RAY ENHANCEMENT WAS OBSERVED BETWEEN 13/0910-1423Z. COINCIDENT IN
TIME, THE MAJORITY OF A FILAMENT LOCATED NEAR S34W29 WAS SEEN TO
SLOWLY DISSIPATE IN PLACE. REGION 8093 (N31W11) EXHIBITED SLOW
GROWTH.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN AT A VERY
LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET. BRIEF ACTIVE
CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED BETWEEN 13/0900-1200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE
DAYS. ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON 14 AND
15 OCT.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 OCT a 16 OCT
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 OCT 088 Previsto 14 OCT-16 OCT 089/090/089 Media de 90 Días 13 OCT 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 OCT 006/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 OCT 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 OCT-16 OCT 012/015-012/012-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 OCT a 16 OCT
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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