Viendo archivo del sábado, 5 febrero 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 05 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 036 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Feb 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z

Solar activity was at low levels today. Multiple C-class flares occurred from a source on the east limb near N14, the largest was a C7 x-ray event that occurred at 04/2357Z. This is likely the return of old Region 720 (N13, L=178). LASCO imagery depicts two distinct CME eruptions from the solar east limb which do not appear to be Earth directed. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels throughout the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels today. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the first day (6 Feb). Predominantly active conditions with periods of minor storming are possible on 7-8 February due to a recurrent high speed coronal hole stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Feb a 08 Feb
Clase M40%45%50%
Clase X05%10%10%
Protón01%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       05 Feb 095
  Previsto   06 Feb-08 Feb  105/115/125
  Media de 90 Días        05 Feb 106
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 04 Feb  002/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 05 Feb  003/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 06 Feb-08 Feb  008/010-015/025-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Feb a 08 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%35%35%
Tormenta Menor05%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%10%10%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%45%35%
Tormenta Menor05%25%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%15%05%

All times in UTC

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