Viendo archivo del lunes, 23 octubre 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Oct 23 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 296 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Oct 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. New region 918 (S04W72) was numbered today. LASCO imagery shows a CME on the East limb, apparently originating from the backside. This event is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. Solar wind speed remains elevated due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Its current speed is approximately 500 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Oct a 26 Oct
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 Oct 076
  Previsto   24 Oct-26 Oct  075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        23 Oct 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 Oct  012/013
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 Oct  004/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 Oct-26 Oct  004/005-004/005-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Oct a 26 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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