Viendo archivo del jueves, 17 septiembre 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Sep 17 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 260 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Sep 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet with two periods of
unsettled conditions from 0000Z-0600Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet with isolated periods of unsettled
conditions for day one (18 September). This activity is due to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. On days two and three
(19-20 September), the geomagnetic field is expected to return to
quiet levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Sep a 20 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Sep 069 Previsto 18 Sep-20 Sep 069/070/070 Media de 90 Días 17 Sep 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Sep 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Sep 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Sep-20 Sep 005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Sep a 20 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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