Viendo archivo del domingo, 6 agosto 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Aug 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 218 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Aug 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There is currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (07
Aug, 08 Aug, 09 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 788 km/s at 05/2108Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 06/0547Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
06/0829Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 8649 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (07 Aug), quiet to active
levels on day two (08 Aug) and quiet levels on day three (09 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Aug 074 Previsto 07 Aug-09 Aug 074/074/074 Media de 90 Días 06 Aug 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Aug 017/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Aug 012/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 008/008-008/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 40% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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