Viendo archivo del jueves, 9 julio 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Jul 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 191 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jul 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (10 Jul, 11 Jul, 12 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 351 km/s at 09/0243Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
09/1554Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
09/0855Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 227 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (10 Jul, 11 Jul) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (12 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Jul 069 Previsto 10 Jul-12 Jul 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 09 Jul 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jul 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Jul 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 006/005-006/005-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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