Viendo archivo del martes, 5 enero 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jan 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 5 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Jan 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (06 Jan, 07 Jan, 08 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 487 km/s at 05/1952Z. Total IMF reached 18
nT at 05/1420Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -16 nT at
05/1351Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1174 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (06 Jan), quiet to
unsettled levels on day two (07 Jan) and quiet levels on day three (08
Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Jan a 08 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Jan 075 Previsto 06 Jan-08 Jan 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 05 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Jan 003/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Jan 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Jan-08 Jan 015/020-007/010-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Jan a 08 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/02/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 03/02/2026 | M7.3 |
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