Publié: 2018 Nov 18 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2018 | 073 | 005 |
| 19 Nov 2018 | 073 | 007 |
| 20 Nov 2018 | 073 | 004 |
There were no flares on the visible solar disc of the Sun in the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 15%.
No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.
In the past 24 hours, solar wind speed near Earth as registered by DSCOVR varied between about 275 and 340 km/s, with current values around 330 km/s. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was predominantly directed towards the Sun and has increased from about 4 to 7.5 nT since 04:45 UT on November 18. This may be the first sign of the arrival of a solar wind stream from a weak, negative polarity, equatorial coronal hole. Bz was never below -5 nT.
Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 0 and 1; NOAA Kp between 0 and 1) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on November 18, 19 and 20, with a chance for active intervals due to the possible arrival of a solar wind stream from a weak, negative polarity, equatorial coronal hole.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 015, sur la base de 16 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 073 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 003 |
| AK Wingst | 001 |
| Ap estimé | 001 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 016 - Basé sur 29 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
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