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Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2014 Mar 10 1308 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Quiet

	strumień 10cm	Ap
10 Mar 2014	146	009
11 Mar 2014	146	007
12 Mar 2014	146	007

Skrót wiadomości

There were four low M flares and twelve C flares on the Sun during the past 24 hours, the large majority being released by NOAA AR 12002. The brightest one was an M1.1 flare from NOAA AR 12002 peaking at 00:26 UT on March 10. In the next 48 hours, the probability for C flares is very high (over 95%) and for M flares around 70%, mainly from beta-gamma-delta region NOAA AR 12002. An X flare is possible but unlikely. The halo CME detected by CACTUS on LASCO C2 imagery from 3:12 UT on March 9, is probably a backsided event related to an eruption in NOAA AR 11986, as can be seen in STEREO B images. This CME is not expected to be geoeffective. Since 12h UT on March 9, solar wind speed as observed by ACE decreased from around 340 km/s to around 270 km/s around 0h UT on March 10, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 1.5 and 4.5 nT in this period. From then onwards, solar wind speed increased again to about 340 km/s, with the magnitude of the IMF fluctuating between 1.5 and 6 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 3). Quiet geomagnetic levels are expected on March 10, 11, and 12.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 083, na podstawie 17 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 09 Mar 2014

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	///
10cm solar flux	146
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	004
Szacunkowa Ap	003
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	080 - Na podstawie stacji 25

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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