Viendo archivo del miércoles, 28 octubre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Oct 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 301 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 OCT 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. OCCASIONAL C-CLASS FLARES
OCCURRED. NEWLY NUMBERED REGION 8371 (S21E36) EMERGED ON THE DISK,
AND THERE MAY BE OTHER REGIONS NOW NEAR EAST LIMB.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
AT LOW LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX DECLINED TO MOSTLY MODERATE LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 OCT a 31 OCT
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 OCT 108 Previsto 29 OCT-31 OCT 110/115/115 Media de 90 Días 28 OCT 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 27 OCT 007/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 OCT 010/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 OCT-31 OCT 005/008-005/008-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 OCT a 31 OCT
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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