Viendo archivo del jueves, 29 octubre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Oct 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 302 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 OCT 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONE C-CLASS FLARE OCCURRED.
SEVERAL NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED TODAY. REGION 8369 (N19E05) WAS
SPLIT INTO TWO SEPARATE REGIONS. THE EASTERN PART IS NEW REGION
8372 (N21E17). OTHER NEW NUMBERED REGIONS ARE: REGION 8373
(S24E57), REGION 8374 (S18E67), AND REGION 8375 (N18E71).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX WENT FROM MODERATE TO HIGH RANGE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 OCT a 01 NOV
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 OCT 110 Previsto 30 OCT-01 NOV 115/115/120 Media de 90 Días 29 OCT 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 OCT 008/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 OCT 005/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 OCT-01 NOV 005/010-010/008-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 OCT a 01 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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