Viendo archivo del viernes, 21 marzo 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Mar 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 080 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Mar 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Two C class flares were
produced by Region 314 (S13W94) as it crossed the west limb. A 13
degree filament near N12E59 disappeared at about 0930 UTC, followed
by a narrow CME on the northeast limb. Another filament erupted
near S24E12 at 0948 UTC. Solar X-ray images indicate a new solar
active region near S14 behind the east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
Geomagnetic activity has ranged from quiet to minor storm levels.
High speed solar wind and strong interplanetary magnetic field
conditions led to minor storm activity from 0000 to 1200 UTC.
Activity decreased to active levels from 1200 to 1500 UTC, and
unsettled thereafter. Greater than 2 MeV electron flux levels were
high during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be unsettled with isolated active periods during the
next 24 hours due to persistence. Conditions should decline to
mostly unsettled during the second and third days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Mar a 24 Mar
| Clase M | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Mar 091 Previsto 22 Mar-24 Mar 095/095/100 Media de 90 Días 21 Mar 134
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Mar 012/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Mar 028/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Mar-24 Mar 015/015-012/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Mar a 24 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 08% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 04/04/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
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| abril 2026 | 133.3 +47.4 |
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