Viendo archivo del sábado, 22 febrero 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Feb 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 053 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Feb 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 290 (N18W06) was the
main flare producer, generating occasional subflares. The C5/Sf at
0929 UTC from Region 290 was the most energetic event of the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Remnants of the high-speed
stream persist, generating short-lived episodes of active
conditions. The energetic electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
attained high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Feb a 25 Feb
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Feb 107 Previsto 23 Feb-25 Feb 110/110/110 Media de 90 Días 22 Feb 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Feb 010/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Feb 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Feb-25 Feb 010/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Feb a 25 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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