Viendo archivo del lunes, 10 marzo 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Mar 10 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 070 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Mar 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 985 (S10W83) was numbered today. It is currently a BXO group with an area of 90 millionths.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels due to the influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind at the ACE spacecraft is elevated to approximately 700 km/s at forecast issue time.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to active levels with isolated minor storm periods possible for days one and two (11-12 March). Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on day three (13 March) as the effects of the coronal hole high speed stream wane.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Mar a 13 Mar
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       10 Mar 070
  Previsto   11 Mar-13 Mar  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        10 Mar 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 09 Mar  014/025
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 10 Mar  010/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 11 Mar-13 Mar  010/010-010/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Mar a 13 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor15%15%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%40%30%
Tormenta Menor20%10%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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