Viendo archivo del martes, 12 febrero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 12 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 043 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Feb 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
solar disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels, due to continued
effects from a coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speed at
the ACE spacecraft reached a maximum of approximately 760 km/s at
11/2335Z. By the end of the summary period wind speed was close to
600 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominately unsettled levels, with isolated
active periods possible on days one and two (13 - 14 February).
Conditions are expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on
day three (15 February) as the high speed stream rotates out of a
geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Feb a 15 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Feb 072 Previsto 13 Feb-15 Feb 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 12 Feb 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Feb 016/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Feb 012/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Feb-15 Feb 010/015-010/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Feb a 15 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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