Viendo archivo del viernes, 2 noviembre 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Nov 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 307 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Nov 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Todays activity consisted
of a few, low-level B-class flares. All the regions on the disk were
quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days with just a chance for an isolated
C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours. The
interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) steadily weakened throughout the
period from initial values around 10 nT to day-end values around 3
nT. The z-component of the IMF (Bz) turned northwards at about 0300Z
and solar wind velocity was at nominal values between 300 to 320
km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (03-05
Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Nov a 05 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Nov 097 Previsto 03 Nov-05 Nov 100/105/105 Media de 90 Días 02 Nov 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Nov 017/024 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Nov 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov 007/007-006/005-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Nov a 05 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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