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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 May 30 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 150 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 May 2022

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 30/0227Z from Region 3019 (N14W78). There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (31 May, 01 Jun, 02 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 628 km/s at 30/0221Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 30/0814Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 30/0017Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4565 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (31 May, 01 Jun, 02 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 May a 02 Jun
Clase M05%05%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       30 May 101
  Previsto   31 May-02 Jun 100/100/100
  Media de 90 Días        30 May 128

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 29 May  014/015
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 30 May  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 31 May-02 Jun  008/008-009/008-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 May a 02 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa20%20%20%

All times in UTC

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