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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 May 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 123 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 May 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a X1 event observed at
03/1325Z from Region 3004 (S15W02). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (04 May, 05
May, 06 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 625 km/s at 02/2242Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
02/2249Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
03/1933Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2317 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (04 May, 05 May, 06
May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 May a 06 May
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 May 114 Previsto 04 May-06 May 115/120/125 Media de 90 Días 03 May 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 May 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 May 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May 005/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 May a 06 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 119.3 -4.8 |
| Last 30 days | 108.9 +1.7 |