SOLAR ACTIVITY BECAME HIGH DURING THE PERIOD. REGION 8088 (S28E11) PRODUCED AN IMPULSIVE M5/1B AT 24/0248Z WITH STRONG TYPE II AND IV SWEEP EVENTS. THE TYPE IV WAS OBSERVED FROM 24/0248-0615Z. THE 2695 MHZ BURST WITH THIS EVENT WAS 650 F.U. REGION 8088 ALSO PRODUCED AN M3/SF AT 24/1106Z WITH A STRONG TYPE II AND MODERATE INTENSITY TYPE IV. MINOR CENTIMETRIC BURSTS ACCOMPANIED THIS EVENT. THIS REGION ALSO PRODUCED A C8/1N AT 24/1834Z WITH A WEAK TYPE II. REGION 8088 ALSO PRODUCED A LONG DURATION C1.5 EVENT FROM 23/2136-2350Z. CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS AND VERY LARGE CORONAL MORETON WAVES WERE OBSERVED WITH THIS LONG DURATION EVENT AND THE M5 MENTIONED ABOVE. REGION 8088 CONTINUES TO GROW AT A SLOW TO MODERATE PACE AND IS NOW MAGNETICALLY CLASSIFIED AS A BETA-GAMMA REGION

SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE AT A LOW TO MODERATE LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS WITH REGION 8088 AS THE SOURCE REGION. OBVIOUSLY, THIS REGION IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MID-LEVEL M-CLASS EVENTS. STABILIZATION IN THIS REGION COULD RESULT IN AN ABRUPT HALT TO FLARE ACTIVITY DUE TO ITS SMALL TO MODERATE WHITE LIGHT AREA.

THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.

THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR 25 SEP AND THE FIRST HALF OF 26 SEP. THE MASS EJECTIONS MENTIONED ABOVE ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE EARTH ON LATE 26 SEP AND CONTINUE THROUGH 27 SEP. ACTIVE TO MAJOR STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THAT PERIOD. ISOLATED SEVERE STORM INTERVALS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME, ESPECIALLY AT HIGH LATITUDES.

  Vaadeldud       24 SEP 093
  Prognoositud   25 SEP-27 SEP  095/096/097
  90 päeva keskmine        24 SEP 081

OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 SEP  005/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 SEP  004/004
PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 SEP-27 SEP  010/015-025/025-040/040