Vaata teisipäev, 12 november 2013 arhiivi

SIDC igapäevane bülletään päikese ja geomagnetilise aktiivsuse kohta

Välja antud: 2013 Nov 12 1322 UTC

SIDC ennustus

Päikesepursked ehk loited

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Päikese prootonid

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10 cm vool	Ap
12 Nov 2013	164	009
13 Nov 2013	168	017
14 Nov 2013	172	010

Bülletään

Since the CME-less M2.4 flare which peaked at 11:18 UT on November 11, only six C-class flares were reported. We expect M-class flares and possibly but not very probably X-class flares, in particular from the Catania sunspot group 35 (NOAA AR 1890) and NOAA AR 1897. The Catania sunspot group 35 (NOAA AR 1890) is situated in the western solar hemisphere and still has the beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field, therefore we maintain the warning condition for a proton event. From the currently available data it seems that the CME first observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at about 08:48 UT on November 12, is possibly Earth- oriented. This will be confirmed when more data will be available. The solar wind speed is around 420 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude is about 4 nT. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours and active geomagnetic conditions late on November 13 due to arrival of the halo CME which erupted on November 10.

Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 093, põhineb 07 jaamadel.

Päikese indeksid 11 Nov 2013

Catania Wolfi number	///
10cm päikesevoog	164
AK Chambon La Forêt	018
AK Wingst	021
Hinnanguline Ap	021
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv	078 - Põhineb 18 jaamal

Märkimisväärsete sündmuste kokkuvõte

Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive

Kõik ajad UTC-s

<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele