Välja antud: 2014 Jul 11 1242 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10 cm vool | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2014 | 170 | 015 |
| 12 Jul 2014 | 160 | 011 |
| 13 Jul 2014 | 155 | 014 |
Two C-class and one M-class flares were observed in the past 24 hours. A C7.4 flare originated from Catania sunspot region 16 (NOAA AR 2113) peaking at 21:13 UT on July 10, almost immediately followed by an impulsive M1.5 flare from Catania sunspot region 5 (NOAA AR 2106). The CME of July 10 has further extended to an asymmetric halo CME, but is propagating mainly west of the Sun-Earth line. No additional Earth- affecting CMEs were identified. Flaring activity is expected to continue at the level of C-class flares, with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare. Solar wind speed is near 400 km/s, as measured by ACE. The magnitude of interplanetary magnetic field was stable with values near 5 nT with a Bz component fluctuating between -4 and +4 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled and are expected to remain so till the possible arrival of a glancing blow July 8 CME. Active conditions are expected on the UT evening of July 11. Active conditions are also possible on the UT morning of July 13, due to the arrival of a glancing blow of the July 9 CME.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 112, põhineb 09 jaamadel.
| Catania Wolfi number | /// |
| 10cm päikesevoog | 177 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 009 |
| AK Wingst | 008 |
| Hinnanguline Ap | 009 |
| Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 124 - Põhineb 17 jaamal |
| Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 2229 | 2234 | 2237 | ---- | M1.5 | 05/2106 |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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