Välja antud: 2021 May 28 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10 cm vool | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 May 2021 | 082 | 009 |
| 29 May 2021 | 080 | 008 |
| 30 May 2021 | 080 | 004 |
The Sun has released two C flares during the past 24 hours. The brightest flare was a C7.6 flare produced by beta-gamma region NOAA 2824, peaking at 23:15 UT on May 27. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 80%, while the chance for an M flare is estimated at 15%.
No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.
The solar wind speed as registered by DSCOVR varied between about 390 km/s and 455 km/s in the past 24 hours, with current values around 440 km/s. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was oriented away from the Sun and its magnitude varied between about 5 and 10 nT. Bz was never below -5 nT for extended intervals. Solar wind conditions are expected to gradually decline on May 28-29.
Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 3) were registered in the past 24 hours. Active geomagnetic intervals (K Dourbes = 4) are possible on May 28 and 29, with a slight chance for minor storm geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes = 5) on May 28. Quiet to unsettled levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on May 30.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 029, põhineb 23 jaamadel.
| Catania Wolfi number | /// |
| 10cm päikesevoog | 083 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
| AK Wingst | 018 |
| Hinnanguline Ap | 019 |
| Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 039 - Põhineb 29 jaamal |
| Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puuduvad | ||||||||||
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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