Vaata esmaspäev, 20 november 2023 arhiivi

SIDC igapäevane bülletään päikese ja geomagnetilise aktiivsuse kohta

Välja antud: 2023 Nov 20 1247 UTC

SIDC ennustus

Päikesepursked ehk loited

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Päikese prootonid

Quiet

	10 cm vool	Ap
20 Nov 2023	140	010
21 Nov 2023	145	015
22 Nov 2023	150	006

Päikese aktiivsed piirkonnad ja pursked

There are three active regions visible on the disk situated on the eastern hemisphere. NOAA 3490 is the most magnetically complex and has produced the strongest flare over the last 24 hours, an M1.2 flare peaking at 20 November 09:03UT. More M-class flares can be expected in the next 24 hours.

Krooniaine massiline väljavool

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery.

Krooniauk

The low latitudinal extension of a high latitude coronal hole (in the northern hemisphere, negative polarity) is in a geo-effective position today. An equatorial positive polarity coronal hole will be in geoeffective position over the next 24 hours while the southern negative polarity coronal hole will cross central meridian over the next 24 hours. Finally, a mid latitude coronal hole postive coronal hole will cross central meridian on 22-23 November.

Päikesetuul

A disturbance in the solar wind parameters starting on 20 November 0200:09UT could be associated with the not highly anticipated high speed stream associated with the negative polarity northern coronal hole. The high speed solar wind from positive polarity coronal hole is expected to arrive to Earth in 24 hours.

Geomagnetism

During the last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (NOAA KP 2, K_Bel 3). Mostly unsettled conditions, while a chance of active conditions are expected for the next 24 hours, active conditions can be expected due to the arrival of a high speed streams.

Prootoni voo tasemed

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below threshold and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

Elektronivoog geostatsionaarsel orbiidil

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold, as measured by GOES 16. It is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The 24 hour electron fluence was at normal levels, it is expected to stay at those levels for the next 24 hours.

Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 100, põhineb 08 jaamadel.

Päikese indeksid 19 Nov 2023

Catania Wolfi number	///
10cm päikesevoog	140
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	004
Hinnanguline Ap	003
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv	065 - Põhineb 15 jaamal

Märkimisväärsete sündmuste kokkuvõte

Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive

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