SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. AN ERUPTIVE PROMINENCE ON THE NW LIMB PRODUCED A LARGE CORONAL MASS EJECTION LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD YESTERDAY AROUND 01/1950Z. NO MAJOR EVENTS WERE NOTICED AS A RESULT OF THIS ACTIVITY. THE LARGEST EVENT FROM THIS PERIOD WAS A M1 FLARE AT 02/0027Z ACCOMPANIED BY A TYPE II SWEPT FREQUENCY BURST WITH A SPEED OF 450 KM/S. THIS FLARE WAS OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED. REGION 8651 (N25W04) PRODUCED A C3/SF AT 02/2103Z WITH A TYPE II SWEPT FREQUENCY BURST WITH A SPEED OF 700 KM/S. THERE WERE TWO MORE TYPE II SWEPT FREQUENCY BURSTS DURING THE PERIOD THAT WERE NOT OPTICALLY CORRELATED, ONE BETWEEN 02/0541-0546Z WITH A SPEED OF 500 KM/S AND ANOTHER BETWEEN 02/0959-1006Z WITH A SPEED OF 600 KM/S. REGIONS 8651 AND 8645 (S25W44) CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN THEIR BETA-GAMMA MAGNETIC CONFIGURATION AND HAVE PRODUCED THE MAJORITY OF C-CLASS FLARES DURING THE PERIOD.

SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE WITH AN ISOLATED X-CLASS EVENT POSSIBLE.

THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.

THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH OCCASIONAL ACTIVE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ON THE THIRD DAY. THIS ACTIVITY MAY OCCUR IN RESPONSE TO CME EVENTS FROM 31 JULY THROUGH TODAY.

  Observé       02 AUG 213
  Prévisionnel   03 AUG-05 AUG  195/190/185
  Moyenne des 90 derniers jours        02 AUG 164

OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 AUG  010/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 AUG  012/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 AUG-05 AUG  010/007-010/015-010/025