Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. Old Region 1468 (N11W96) produced two low level C-class events before rotating off the west limb. Region 1469 (S23W39) showed some rapid growth in the trailer spot region and is now magnetically classified as a beta-gamma. As Region 1469 was growing, it also produced two C-class x-ray events. Early in the period, a full-halo CME was observed in LASCO C2 imagery, but analysis indicated this was a backsided event. Around 02/1007Z, in SDO imagery, a large filament was observed lifting off the northwest limb of the solar disk. LASCO C2 imagery showed a CME around 02/1336Z that is believed to be associated with the filament eruption. Further analysis is needed to determine if this CME will become geoeffective. A new region was numbered today, Region 1474 (N14E71), as it rotated onto the northeast limb.

Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a slight chance for M-class flares for the next three days (03 - 05 May) as Regions 1469 and 1471 (S21E19) continue to evolve.

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (03 - 05 May).

  Observé       02 May 116
  Prévisionnel   03 May-05 May  115/115/115
  Moyenne des 90 derniers jours        02 May 112

  Observé Afr/Ap 01 May  003/004
  Estimé     Afr/Ap 02 May  003/004
  Prévisionnel    Afr/Ap 03 May-05 May  006/005-006/005-006/005