Publié: 2013 Aug 20 1231 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2013 | 128 | 014 |
| 21 Aug 2013 | 128 | 020 |
| 22 Aug 2013 | 132 | 007 |
Flaring was eruptive featuring several C-class flares from NOAA active regions 1818, 1819 and 1825. Two CMEs were observed in the past 24 hours. The CME observed by LASCO/C2 on 19 August at 23h12 UT seems backsided and is not geo-effective. The CME observed on 20 August at 8h12 UT is associated to a large filament eruption. The CME travels with a speed of 600 km/s calculated based on STEREO data and goes mostly south of the ecliptic plane. There is a chance that Earth will be affected by the northern part of the CME structure, arriving late 23 August, possibly resulting in active to minor storm conditions. Current geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled. Periods of enhanced geomagnetic activity are possible (unsettled to active) for the next 48 hours, in relation to the arrival of the equatorial coronal hole high speed stream and the CME of August 17.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 084, sur la base de 14 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 128 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 009 |
| AK Wingst | 006 |
| Ap estimé | 005 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 091 - Basé sur 24 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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