Publié: 2013 Oct 14 1310 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2013 | 130 | 010 |
| 15 Oct 2013 | 130 | 007 |
| 16 Oct 2013 | 130 | 011 |
Several C-class flares in past 24h, the strongest being a C4.5 flare peaking at 17:58 UT on October 13, from NOAA AR 1861 (beta gamma magnetic field configuration). This AR, and in particular AR 1865 (beta-gamma- delta), can produce M-class flares in the next 48h. Geomagnetic conditions are currently unsettled due to the arrival of a fast speed stream from a coronal hole. The solar wind speed is at 500 km/s with magnetic field intensities currently at 7 nT. Conditions may reach active levels.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 097, sur la base de 09 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 129 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 006 |
| AK Wingst | 002 |
| Ap estimé | 002 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 094 - Basé sur 15 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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