Publié: 2013 Nov 02 1248 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov 2013 | 145 | 006 |
| 03 Nov 2013 | 145 | 004 |
| 04 Nov 2013 | 145 | 005 |
The sun produced one M and three C flares during the past 24 hours. Catania sunspot region 29 (NOAA AR 11884) was responsible for the M6.3 flare peaking at 19:46 UT on November 1. Also Catania sunspot region 28 (NOAA AR 11885) produced a C8.2 flare with a peak at 4:46 UT on November 2. During the next 48 hours, more C flaring activity is expected with a slight chance for an M flare. Two CMEs of which one full halo CME were detected in coronographic imagery (LASCO/C2 as well as STEREO A and B), but first analysis indicates both are backsided and originate from old NOAA AR 11875. The full halo CME was first seen in LASCO/C2 at 5:00 UT and the second CME at 8:12 UT directed to the NW. Solar wind speed as observed by ACE is around 350 km/s. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) currently is stable near 5 nT. Geomagnetic activity is quiet to unsettled (local K at Dourbes and NOAA Kp between 0 and 3), which is expected to remain so within the next 48 hours.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 069, sur la base de 02 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 145 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
| AK Wingst | 005 |
| Ap estimé | 004 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 085 - Basé sur 13 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 1946 | 1953 | 1958 | S11E01 | M6.3 | 1B | 290 | 29/1884 |
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
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