Publié: 2014 Jan 19 1254 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2014 | 130 | 004 |
| 20 Jan 2014 | 135 | 010 |
| 21 Jan 2014 | 137 | 012 |
There are currently eight numbered sunspot groups on the solar disc, and the most active one is the NOAA AR 1959. The strongest of 8 C-class flares observed in last 24 hours was C6.0 flare (peaking at 12:04 UT of January 18) which also originated from the NOAA AR 1959 currently situated close to the East solar limb. We expect more C-class flares and possibly also an isolated M-class flare. The solar wind speed is about 290 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field is still stable with the magnitude between 2 and 3 nT. The low-latitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere has reached the central meridian early on January 18. We expect arrival of the fast solar wind on January 20-21. The CME-driven shock wave, associated with a partial halo CME (limb event) on January 16, could be also expected on January 20-21. We expect quiet to possibly unsettled geomagnetic conditions in the next 48 hours.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 073, sur la base de 09 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 130 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 003 |
| AK Wingst | 001 |
| Ap estimé | 001 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 083 - Basé sur 14 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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