Publié: 2014 Mar 02 1123 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Proton event in progress (>10 MeV)
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar 2014 | 163 | 007 |
| 03 Mar 2014 | 162 | 007 |
| 04 Mar 2014 | 162 | 007 |
It was again AR1982-Cat46, now behind the solar west limb, that produced the strongest flaring activity in the past 24 hours. Several C-class flares were observed early Mar 2 but these correspond to only the flaring loop tops, the real magnitude of the event was presumably larger. The largest chance for major flaring in the coming days comes from AR1991-Cat59 which is undergoing significant magnetic restructuring. We estimate M-class flaring likely and a 25% chance for an X-class flare. Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 112, sur la base de 08 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 165 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
| AK Wingst | 008 |
| Ap estimé | 007 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 115 - Basé sur 09 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 1318 | 1333 | 1340 | ---- | M1.1 | 46/1982 |
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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