Publié: 2014 Jun 18 1245 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2014 | 112 | 011 |
| 19 Jun 2014 | 112 | 005 |
| 20 Jun 2014 | 115 | 005 |
NOAA ARs 2087 and 2089 have beta-gamma configuration of their photospheric magnetic field. The strongest flare of the past 24 hours was the C4.0 flare peaking at 03:31 UT today in the NOAA AR 2087. The flare was associated with coronal dimmings and a post-eruptive arcade observed by SDO/AIA, and also probably with a narrow CME first seen in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 07:48 UT. The CME is not expected to arrive at the Earth. We expect further flaring activity on the C-level, in particular from NOAA ARs 2087 and 2093, with an M-class flare being possible but not very likely. An interplanetary sector boundary was crossed around 17:00 UT yesterday. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude increased up to 10 nT, but it did not exhibit prolonged intervals of strongly negative north-south component Bz. The geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 400 km/s) solar wind flow with slightly elevated (around 6 nT) IMF magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 085, sur la base de 14 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 114 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
| AK Wingst | 012 |
| Ap estimé | 010 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 067 - Basé sur 16 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
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