Affichage des archives de mercredi, 6 août 2014

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2014 Aug 06 1220 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Valable à partir de 1230 UTC, 06 Aug 2014 jusqu'à 08 Aug 2014
Éruptions solaires

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Géomagnétisme

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

Flux de 10 cmAp
06 Aug 2014140010
07 Aug 2014140011
08 Aug 2014140012

Bulletin

The solar activity remains low with only small C-class flares reported in the past 24h. These flares mostly occurred in NOAA AR 2132, which is currently the most active region on the solar disk. More flaring at C-class level is expected from NOAA AR 2132 and 2134, with a small chance for a low M-class flare. A type II radio burst was observed in Humain on August 5 at 15:50. It was related to a C1.1 flare at location N11E51, close to NOAA AR 2134 and to a narrow CME observed by LASCO at 16:24 UT towards the north-east. This CME is not earth-directed. A wide CME was observed in LASCO at 04:36 UT today after a long data gap. This CME was probably associated to an eruption in NOAA AR 2121, which has already turned over the west limb, but is visible in STEREO images around 20:00 UT on August 5. At that time SDO images also show erupting loops behind the west limb. This CME is thus back-sided and will not affect the earth. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (K up to 3). We expect a return to quiet conditions. Late on August 7 and on August 8, unsettled to active conditions (K max 4) are possible due to the expected arrival of a coronal hole fast wind stream.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 075, sur la base de 10 stations.

Indices solaires pour 05 Aug 2014

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania///
Flux solaire à 10 cm139
AK Chambon La Forêt018
AK Wingst011
Ap estimé012
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé089 - Basé sur 24 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

JourCommencerMaxFinLocForceOP10cmCatania/NOAATypes de sursaut radio
Aucun

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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