Publié: 2014 Aug 18 1232 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2014 | 119 | 008 |
| 19 Aug 2014 | 124 | 008 |
| 20 Aug 2014 | 129 | 021 |
Solar activity was low with only an isolated C1.8 flare peaking at 19:48UT from NOAA AR 2146 while NOAA AR 2144 continued to produce a couple of moderate to high level B class flares. No Earth directed CME's were recorded. Solar activity is expected to remain low with only a slight chance for an M class flare. Solar wind speed remained around the 300 km/s level. The reporting period was marked by a couple of sector boundary crossings. After a short excursion in the negative sector at the start of the reporting period, the phi angle restored to a positive sector. It was later steadily negative between approximately 20:00 UT and 5:00 UT, but is now again positive. These sector boundary crossings were associated with some magnetic field variabilities. A negative Bz of up to -6nT just before the reporting period was associated with unsettled geomagnetic conditions after UT noon August 17 (both NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes 3). Another local period of unsettled conditions was recorded around 9:00 UT (local K Dourbes 3). Nominal wind conditions, and corresponding quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected to continue at first. But late August 19 some period of active conditions can be expected associated with the arrival of the August 15 CME.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 074, sur la base de 14 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 115 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 011 |
| AK Wingst | 008 |
| Ap estimé | 008 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 081 - Basé sur 21 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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