Publié: 2014 Nov 22 1207 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2014 | 161 | 010 |
| 23 Nov 2014 | 159 | 012 |
| 24 Nov 2014 | 157 | 012 |
NOAA ARs 2209 and 2216 (Catania numbers 9 and 14 respectively) have delta-spots in their trailing parts and continue to produce C-class flares. The strongest flare of the past 24 hours was the C8.1 flare peaking at 01:01 UT today in the NOAA AR 2209 (Catania number 9). We expect flaring activity on the C-level, possibly with an isolated M-class flare. A long filament in the northern hemisphere is now situated across the solar central meridian. Its eruption may lead to an Earth-directed CME. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 370 km/s) solar wind flow with slightly elevated (7-8 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. Due to low solar wind speed, the geomagnetic conditions remained at the quiet to unsettled level (K < 4), with one interval of active conditions (K = 4) reported only by IZMIRAN yesterday evening. The geomagnetic conditions are expected to stay at the quiet to unsettled level (K < 4), possibly with isolated intervals of active conditions (K = 4).
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 060, sur la base de 14 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 163 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 023 |
| AK Wingst | 015 |
| Ap estimé | 016 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 045 - Basé sur 18 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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