Affichage des archives de samedi, 21 février 2015

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2015 Feb 21 1225 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Valable à partir de 1230 UTC, 21 Feb 2015 jusqu'à 23 Feb 2015
Éruptions solaires

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Géomagnétisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

Flux de 10 cmAp
21 Feb 2015120007
22 Feb 2015125017
23 Feb 2015125009

Bulletin

Solar activity was low with four C-class flares, mainly originating from NOAA active region (AR) 2286, which has currently rounded the west limb. The strongest flare was a C2.3 flare peaking at 15:22 UT on February 20. No associated solar event was observed. A filament eruption was observed starting on February 20 at 3:24 UT near S15E15, with a CME observed in LASCO/C2 (first clear measurement near 7:36 UT ) and in LASCO/C3 (first measurement near 12:06 UT). The very slow CME (nearly 200 km/s) was directed to the south with a less than 100 degrees angular width. No Earth-directed component is expected. Flaring at C-class flares is expected. Nominal solar wind conditions were observed, with the magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field maximally at 7 nT. The solar wind speed is currently around 350 km/s. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (K=1 to 3) at the local level (Dourbes) and global level (estimated NOAA Kp), which is expected to continue for the next few hours. The arrival of the anticipated coronal hole high speed stream could result in active geomagnetic conditions on February 22 (K=4, with a small chance for K=5).

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 043, sur la base de 10 stations.

Indices solaires pour 20 Feb 2015

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania054
Flux solaire à 10 cm120
AK Chambon La Forêt011
AK Wingst006
Ap estimé005
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé046 - Basé sur 12 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

JourCommencerMaxFinLocForceOP10cmCatania/NOAATypes de sursaut radio
Aucun

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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