Affichage des archives de mercredi, 29 avril 2015

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2015 Apr 29 1230 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Éruptions solaires

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Géomagnétisme

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

	Flux de 10 cm	Ap
29 Apr 2015	100	008
30 Apr 2015	105	016
01 May 2015	105	008

Bulletin

The active regions are currently stable or decaying, except for a new developing small sunspot group Catania 48. No flares occurred during the past period. SDO/AIA and H-alpha GONG images indicate a few filament eruptions on April 28 in the Eastern hemisphere. The eruption of the extended filament, which was stretching from S05E10 to N40E80, started around 11:00 UT. An associated partial halo CME was detected in SOHO/LASCO images, with first measurement at 14:29 UT. The CME is mainly propagating to the North-East of the Sun-Earth line, with an estimated projected speed of 361 km/s (CACTus estimate). At most a glancing blow will arrive at Earth on May 2 at the end of the UT day. Another faint, asymmetric CME was observed in SOHO/LASCO-C2, with first measurement at 2:48 UT on April 29, which is perceived as a backside event. There is a limited chance (20%) for C-class flares during the next 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field magnitude is fluctuating between 0 and 8 nT, while the solar wind speed obtains values between 280 and 360 km/s. Quiet to unsettled (local K=0 to 3 at Dourbes) geomagnetic conditions were observed and are largely expected to remain so. There is some chance for a few time slots of active (K=4) to minor storm (K=5) conditions, due to an expected flow from a positive polarity coronal hole on April 30.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 022, sur la base de 14 stations.

Indices solaires pour 28 Apr 2015

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania	061
Flux solaire à 10 cm	108
AK Chambon La Forêt	009
AK Wingst	007
Ap estimé	006
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé	032 - Basé sur 23 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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