Publié: 2015 May 06 1230 UTC
Major flares expected (X-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 06 May 2015 | 130 | 018 |
| 07 May 2015 | 137 | 007 |
| 08 May 2015 | 142 | 007 |
NOAA AR 2339 (Catania 54) at the east limb produced an X2.7 flare peaking at 22:11 UT on May 5, with an associated CME (not expected to arrive to the Earth). NOAA AR 2335 (Catania 51) produced two M-class flares (M1.3 at 14:25 UT and M2.6 at 17:24 UT). These active regions have potential for major flares.
A shock driven by the CME from May 2 arrived to the Earth at 00:50 UT, producing active geomagnetic conditions. Isolated active periods can still occur today. Quiet conditions are expected tomorrow.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 089, sur la base de 16 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | 109 |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 128 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
| AK Wingst | 006 |
| Ap estimé | 006 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 074 - Basé sur 25 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 | 1345 | 1353 | 1356 | N15E75 | M1.2 | SF | --/2339 | III/2II/2 | |
| 05 | 1419 | 1425 | 1432 | ---- | M1.3 | 51/2335 | |||
| 05 | 1712 | 1724 | 1730 | ---- | M2.6 | 51/2335 |
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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