Publié: 2015 Jul 14 1232 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2015 | 110 | 010 |
| 15 Jul 2015 | 110 | 011 |
| 16 Jul 2015 | 108 | 007 |
NOAA AR 2381 produced a C1.0 flare peaking at 9:25 UT on July 14. More C flaring is possible. During the last 24 hours, solar wind speed gradually decreased from about 520 to 450 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field varied between 6 and 9 nT. Bz was mostly below -4 nT between about 14:30 and 20:00 UT on July 13, which resulted in a geomagnetic storm (NOAA Kp = 5 between 18h and 21h UT, K Dourbes = 6 between 20h and 22h UT). Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 5) with possible minor storm excursions (K Dourbes = 5) are expected on July 14 and 15. Quiet to unsettled conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are likely on July 16.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 047, sur la base de 13 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | 044 |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 110 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 043 |
| AK Wingst | 035 |
| Ap estimé | 030 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 055 - Basé sur 19 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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