Affichage des archives de jeudi, 23 juillet 2015

Bulletin quotidien sur l'activité solaire et géomagnétique du SIDC

Publié: 2015 Jul 23 1230 UTC

Prévisions SIDC

Valable à partir de 1230 UTC, 23 Jul 2015 jusqu'à 25 Jul 2015
Éruptions solaires

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Géomagnétisme

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Moniteur de Flux de Proton

Quiet

Flux de 10 cmAp
23 Jul 2015090032
24 Jul 2015093019
25 Jul 2015095016

Bulletin

The two currently visible sunspot groups are further declining. A small active region is near the southeast limb. No C-class flares or earth- directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed.

Quiet flaring conditions are expected, with an increasing chance on an isolated C-class flare with the possible return of old active regions over the east limb during the next few days.

The glancing blow from the 19 July CME resulted in somewhat intenser geomagnetic conditions than expected. Wind speed gradually picked up from about 340 km/s around 15:30UT to a maximum near 480 km/s around 06:00UT. Bz was mostly negative from 21:00-23:00UT at -9 nT, and especially from 03:00-07:00UT at a constant -11 nT. Minor storm conditions were recorded in Dourbes at 08:00UT, and globally during the 06:00-09:00UT interval. Starting shortly after 08:00UT, the solar wind speed started to increase again from about 400 km/s to its current values between 450 and 500 km/s, while Bz is fluctuating between -6 and +6 nT.

Mostly quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a chance on a minor storming period in response to the high speed stream from the positive CH on the northern solar hemisphere.

Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 032, sur la base de 24 stations.

Indices solaires pour 22 Jul 2015

Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania038
Flux solaire à 10 cm089
AK Chambon La Forêt021
AK Wingst010
Ap estimé012
Nombre international de taches solaires estimé039 - Basé sur 26 stations

Résumé des événements marquants

JourCommencerMaxFinLocForceOP10cmCatania/NOAATypes de sursaut radio
Aucun

Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive

Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC

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