Publié: 2015 Aug 09 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| Flux de 10 cm | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug 2015 | 120 | 008 |
| 10 Aug 2015 | 120 | 008 |
| 11 Aug 2015 | 120 | 007 |
Two C-class flares were recorded during the past 24 hours, originating from NOAA active region 2396. The strongest flare was a C4.2 flare, peaking at 7:52 UT. An eruption also occurred near NOAA active region 2393 close to the West limb, peaking at 11:44 UT in SDO/AIA. Coronagraphic imagery is not yet available to analyze any potential CME.
Three CMEs, with first measurements at 20:36 UT and 22:24 UT (on August 7), 00:12 UT (on August 8), were related to eruptions in the Southeast and the Northwest quadrant. The third CME was the strongest one having an apparent width of about 160 degrees. These CMEs have no Earth-bound component, so no geomagnetic consequences are expected.
Flares at the C-level are expected. Also an M-class flare is possible, but not very likely.
The solar wind speed has values varying from 460 to 570 km/s and the magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) is below 10 nT. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled, at global (estimated NOAA Kp) and local (Dourbes) levels, and are expected to remain so.
Estimation du nombre international de taches solaires (ISN) pour aujourd'hui : 070, sur la base de 18 stations.
| Nombre de Wolf, observé par Catania | /// |
| Flux solaire à 10 cm | 121 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 019 |
| AK Wingst | 014 |
| Ap estimé | 014 |
| Nombre international de taches solaires estimé | 089 - Basé sur 27 stations |
| Jour | Commencer | Max | Fin | Loc | Force | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Types de sursaut radio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun | ||||||||||
Données fournies par le Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Traité par SpaceWeatherLive
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